ASEAN-6 Economic Report: Vietnam Leads Growth Amidst Regional Divergence

Vietnam: Robust Expansion

Vietnam posted a Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth of 8.23% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2025. According to the General Statistics Office, this represents the highest rate among the ASEAN-6 nations for the period,approaching the peak levels seen in 2022.

The performance was broad-based across key sectors:

  • Industry and Construction: Expanded by 9.46%, with manufacturing continuing to act as a primary economic driver.
  • Services: Increased by 8.56%, contributing nearly 50% to the overall growth.
  • Agriculture: Maintained stability with a 3.74% rise.

Malaysia and Indonesia: Steady Momentum

Malaysia and Indonesia continued to demonstrate economic resilience, maintaining steady growth trajectories.

  • Malaysia (5.2%): The economy was supported by stable household consumption, improved net exports, and continued investment activities.
  • Indonesia (5.04%): Growth accelerated slightly compared to the previous quarter, underpinned by a strong manufacturing sector which contributed significantly to the broader economy.

Analyst scharacterize the recovery in both nations as stable, despite ongoing fluctuations in the global market.


Philippinesand Singapore: Growth Moderates

Growth momentum eased in the Philippines and Singapore as external and internal factors weighed on activity.

  • The Philippines: GDP growth registered at 4%, a deceleration from 5.5% in the previous quarter. The moderation was attributed to softer domestic consumption, a decrease in fixed investment, and reduced public spending.
  • Singapore: The economy grew by 2.9%, down from 4.5% in Q2. This figure reflects the impact of a high statistical base from the previous year and a softer global trade environment.

Thailand: Navigating Economic Headwinds

Thailand recorded a growth rate of 1.2% for the quarter, facing a complex economic environment.

Theeconomy encountered challenges in several areas:

  • Manufacturing: The sector contracted by 1.6% following six quarters of growth.
  • Exports: Growth in goods and services exports slowed to 6.9%, down from 11.2% in the prior quarter.
  • Macroeconomic Factors: High household debt levels and currency appreciation have also influenced the economic outlook. Full-year growth for 2024 is projected at approximately 2.5%.

Summary: A Multi-Speed Region

Overall, the Q3 2025 data highlights a widening gap in economic trajectories within the ASEAN-6. Vietnam, Malaysia, and Indonesia are currently benefiting from strongproduction capabilities and domestic demand. Meanwhile, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand are navigating tighter conditions driven by global trade dynamics and specific structural challenges.


Vietnam maps showing administrative units, sources of critical raw materials and industrial zones locations.